First month €4.99, then €18.99 per month · cancel anytimeSee pricing

Sports prediction platform

A win probability for every match
checked against real bookmaker odds.

Every prediction is archived before kick-off and never edited afterward, public and sorted by sport. Five sports are free to use, no credit card required.

MODEL VS. MARKET, FREE TODAY
Worcester City - Knowle FCKnowle FC +1
Modell 61.8 %Quote 1.80Value +11.2 %
See today's pick with odds, probability and value

No credit card required, 18+, no guaranteed returns

JUST CALCULATED
just updated
Real Madrid - Inter57%
FOOTBALL UEFA Champions League@1.93
Atlanta Dream - Connecticut Sun58%
BASKETBALL WNBA@1.91

Not just a result.
The math behind it.

Every sport gets its own model. Football, tennis, baseball, American football, basketball, ice hockey, and handball each run through a model engineered for that sport's own quirks: tennis point by point, serve and return modelled apart; baseball plate appearance by plate appearance, park and weather included; basketball with a pace correction measured on real games. Where simulation is needed, it runs 20,000 times for football, tennis, and baseball; for basketball, ice hockey, handball, and American football the score distribution is solved exactly instead, with no simulation noise at all. Right before kickoff, an AI-assisted analysis weighs injuries, form, and tournament context.

Seven sports, seven models
FootballDixon-Coles goals, xG form, market anchor
TennisPoint by point, serve/return modelled apart
BaseballPlate appearance level, park & weather
American FootballScoring distribution, stadium context
BasketballPace correction, opponent-adjusted ratings
Ice HockeyGoal distribution, market-anchored
HandballGoal distribution, learned league average
Value Bet Detection
MODEL PROBABILITY
+ MARKET CONSENSUS
= BLENDED PREDICTION
BLENDED PREDICTION
vs. BOOKMAKER ODDS
→ VALUE BET SIGNAL

Odds are not a judgment. The model probability is blended with the market consensus, producing a prediction. That prediction is set against the actual bookmaker odds, number against number. When the gap is meaningful, the system flags a value-bet signal: a bet with positive expected value.

Every prediction is archived. Model probability, market price, and timestamp are stored before kick-off, not after. Nothing can be adjusted or cherry-picked afterward: a public track record page lists every prediction since day one, updated hourly and visible to anyone.

Updated hourly
PUBLIC TRACK RECORD
every prediction visible, since day one
RECORDED BEFORE KICK-OFF
no after-the-fact selection possible

Seven sports, seven purpose-built models.

Football, tennis, and baseball run 20,000 simulations. Basketball, ice hockey, handball and American football need none: there the score distribution is solved exactly, with no simulation noise at all.

Model

Dixon-Coles goal distribution + xG form + market anchor + referee profile

Leagues & Tours
  • Bundesliga
  • 2. Bundesliga
  • 3. Liga
  • Premier League
  • Championship
  • LaLiga
  • Serie A
  • Ligue 1
  • Süper Lig
  • Champions League
  • Europa League
  • Conference League

Every prediction stays auditable, from the first run to the final tally.

Model runs

20,000

That's how often a football, tennis, or baseball prediction is simulated. Four other sports solve the distribution exactly instead of sampling it.

Value Bet Detection

  1. Model probability, blended with market consensus
  2. Checked against the actual bookmaker odds
  3. A meaningful gap gets flagged as a value-bet signal

The Track Record Page

Every prediction is archived before kick-off with its model probability, market price, and timestamp, and stays unchanged after that. The public track record page lists them since day one, updated hourly, broken down by sport and league.

Checked in the background

Before a prediction is shown, an ongoing monitor checks three things: data freshness, odds coverage, and the plausibility of the calculation itself. Not a feature to click on: the quality control running quietly underneath.

  • Data freshness
  • Odds coverage
  • Prediction plausibility

See the evidence without an account. Premium shows every prediction.

Open without signing up: the pick of the day with odds, probability and value, the public track record page by sport and league, and the daily prediction pages. Free is ready right after sign-up, no credit card required: five of the seven sports (football, tennis, basketball, baseball, ice hockey) with full predictions and up to three value bets a day. Premium removes that limit, unlocks American football and handball, and adds the Kelly criterion for stake sizing plus your own positions with automatic profit/loss tracking. On top of that comes the Bet Builder, which assembles a combo automatically based on filters for expected value, win probability, odds, and number of picks.

No account
€0
  • Pick of the day, daily
  • Public track record
  • Daily prediction pages
  • No sign-up required
See it free
MonthlyFirst month €4.99
€18.99/ month
First month €4.99, then €18.99 per month. Cancel with one click in the dashboard. No minimum term, no notice period.
  • All value bets, unlimited
  • All seven sports
  • EV & Kelly criterion
  • Strategy & position tools
  • Bet Builder for combo bets
Quarterly
€44/ 3 months
Works out to €14.67 per month, about 23 % below monthly. Cancel anytime, effective at the end of the quarter.
  • Everything in Monthly
  • One payment per quarter
  • 23 % cheaper

Payment via Stripe. Cancel anytime in the dashboard under Settings, effective at the end of the current billing period. Prices are final prices; no VAT is shown under the German small-business rule (§ 19 UStG). No guaranteed returns, 18+.

Questions we actually get.